World Health & Population

World Health & Population May 2004 .doi:10.12927/whp.2013.17641

Fertility Transition and Female Rational Choices in Egypt

Hassan H.M. Zaky


The study uses the 1995 Egypt DHS and the probit maximum likelihood method to study the relationships among three related fertility desires. Findings indicate that future fertility desires and contraceptive use are becoming endogenous to each other. The relationship between female employment and fertility desires is not typical of a country at post-transitional stage of fertility. The idea of wife's opportunity cost and rational choices is not yet valid. One should not expect further dramatic decline in fertility.

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